You may have already read today's sports section, but I haven't, so I am going to give my perspective on yesterday's NBA playoff action and a little preview on today's. The playoffs began with an Eastern Conference game that takes the backseat to the Western Conference, at least until Boston faces Detroit in the Conference finals, according to most sport analysts. But before anyone lays money down on that potential match up, don't count out the Cavaliers. In a word, Lebron. At 6'8 and 240, the game has never seen a player so big, athletic, and ferocious as the King. Kobe may be the best player in the NBA, but Lebron may be taking his rightful place at the throne sooner than some think. Despite playing with fairly mediocre talent around him, he has the ability to take over a game in an instant, and yesterday was no exception. So don't count them out of anything.
Now the Western Conference. Beginning with Phoenix, I will argue that if Phoenix does not go to the finals, which I don't believe they will, it is time for Mike D'Antoni to go. Why acquire Shaquille O'Neal for the purpose of strengthening the middle and opening up the floor for others, only to pull him in the crucial minutes of regulation? When Spurs Coach Greg Poppovich went to 'hack-a-shack' with six minutes to go in the game and down by roughly seven points, D'Antoni sat Shaq after two missed free throws. Scoring was not Phoenix's issue, it was defense. They got Shaq primarily for that reason. People in Afghanistan know he can't shoot free throws, it is the deal with the devil you make. Once Shaq went out, Duncan and company attacked the paint and within a blink of an eye they were leading. When Shaq was reinserted, the Suns faired better, but the momentum had shifted. Playoffs are about runs, and most importantly, fourth quarter runs. D'Antoni blew it. He also blew it again in the first overtime, Amare Stoudemire was no help either, but the Phoenix coach had a chance to put Mano Ginobili on the line with six seconds to play and a three point lead. Shaq had a chance to potentially foul him, he was caught playing off of Duncan protecting the lane, but with five fouls and no order to foul, he choose not to. It would have better to have fouled out and maintained a one point lead with six seconds and the ball than to allow what happened -- an open three point shot to send it to overtime and it did. Sorry Suns, but this series may have been decided with yesterday's game.
Now I finally get to express why the Jason Kidd, Devon Harris trade was doomed. Forget that Harris just got his driver's license and has fifteen years in the league ahead of him and Kidd is closer to an AARP membership than most assistant coaches, it was the wrong move. If winning a championship is what motivated the move, which it surely was, then what was necessary to look at is what does Jason Kidd bring that you need. He brings poise and leadership, end of story. Harris is quicker, which helps on both ends of the court, he can get to the basket and score, and most importantly, he opens the court up for his teammates. Kidd is not a scorer, so teams do not fear him lighting them up, nor do they worry he will break down defenses. The Harris/Nowitzki tandem was in the top two for scoring duo's (PG and PF) in the league. Nowitzki is a jump shooter, an amazing one, but that's it. He isolates as well as anyone in the league and gets his shot off. He is not dependent on screen and rolls or a ton of picks. At 7'0, he is easy to get the ball to. What Harris gave them was a point guard that helped create space by breaking down the defense and thereby opening the floor for Dirk. Jason Kidd can really only pass it to him, that's it. It was a dumb and desperate move and the inexperienced Hornets are going to send Dallas home in the first round for the second year in a row.
My Vincent Price team in this year's playoffs are the Utah Jazz, because they are the scariest team. They are virtually unbeatable at home and all it takes for them to win a series that they don't have home court advantage in is to win one on the road and that is exactly what they did yesterday. Houston will be done in five games and McGrady will continue to be winless in the post season. Utah can start looking ahead, even though we know they won't, to the Lakers. Assuming the Lakers win, which they will, more on them in a minute. Utah has an excellent chance of beating the Lakers, particularly if Andrew Bynum doesn't return, or even if he does and is not up to speed. Why? They have an amazing big point guard, Deron Williams and Center Mehmet Okur. Did you have to read that twice? Yes, Okur. Because Okur can pull up and hit the three, Pau Gasol will have to guard him outside, which in theory, if Deron does his job and breaks down the Lakers defense, it will open up the middle, which is where the Lakers are vulnerable. Even if help comes, which sometimes it does not, with Gasol up top, Boozer and the wiry Kirilenko will have a much easier time of getting second chance shots. I think this will be a very exciting match up if it Okur's.
Finally, the Lakers. They will come out today fresh, hungry and with purpose. I don't think Denver has the fortitude to beat the Lakers in a seven games series, not even in a five game, so I am not that worried. I expect the bench of the Lakers will come up big and look for Sasha Vujacic, who could get under the skin of an armadillo, to goad Allen Iverson into a technical foul in one of the first two games. Another reason why Denver won't beat the Lakers is A.I. He is a great athlete but he doesn't make his teammates better, never has and never will. He shoots a lot and his field goal percentage is one of the worst in the history of the game for someone with his scoring average. He isn't known for his passing and neither is Carmelo Anthony. Two great players but not great complimentary games. If Denver wants to get past the first round next year, look for them to find a point guard and a player with the mental toughness to lead a disparate group.
As far as the other games go, Detroit will not have a cake walk through the playoffs on their way to a supposed conference finals with Boston and look for that trouble to start today. Toronto and Orlando is a who's who for fourth place and Boston is the team everyone should fear, including the entire Western Conference. They play defense and the NBA playoffs are about fourth quarter runs and who plays the best half court game on both ends down the stretch. So far this year they are consistent on both ends. Time will tell.